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Forecasting the dynamics of farm income: the case of the olive sector in Spain
dc.contributor.author | Gómez-Limón, José A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Sánchez Cañizares, Sandra María | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-02-22T12:17:39Z | |
dc.date.available | 2024-02-22T12:17:39Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2023 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1594-5685 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10396/27548 | |
dc.description.abstract | The objectives of this paper are to determine the factors that influence interannual movements of farms between income categories, and to forecast future income categories of farms under several different market, climate, and policy scenarios. To achieve these goals, a methodology combining the Markov chain model with a partial proportional odds model is proposed. Spanish olive farms are taken as an illustrative case study. The results show that the income dynamics of these farms are mainly influenced by off-farm uncontrollable factors such as the output prices, the weather conditions, and the policy support. Moreover, farm-, farmer-, and management-specific factors also play a relevant role. | es_ES |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | es_ES |
dc.language.iso | eng | es_ES |
dc.publisher | Universidad de Bolonia | es_ES |
dc.rights | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | es_ES |
dc.source | New Medit, A Mediterranean Journal of Economics, Agriculture and Environment, n. 3, 2023 | es_ES |
dc.subject | Farm viability | es_ES |
dc.subject | Farm accountancy data network | es_ES |
dc.subject | Markov chain model | es_ES |
dc.subject | Partial proportional odds model | es_ES |
dc.subject | Scenario analysis | es_ES |
dc.title | Forecasting the dynamics of farm income: the case of the olive sector in Spain | es_ES |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | es_ES |
dc.relation.publisherversion | https://doi.org/10.30682/nm2303a | es_ES |
dc.rights.accessRights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | es_ES |