• Long term prediction of flood occurrence 

      Aguilar Porro, Cristina; Montanari, Alberto; Polo Gómez, María José (Copernicus Publications, 2016)
      How long a river remembers its past is still an open question. Perturbations occurring in large catchments may impact the flow regime for several weeks and months, therefore providing a physical explanation for the occasional ...
    • Real time updating of the flood frequency distribution through data assimilation 

      Aguilar Porro, Cristina; Montanari, Alberto; Polo Gómez, María José (European Geosciences Union, 2016)
      We explore the memory properties of catchments for predicting the likelihood of floods basing on observations of average flows in pre-flood seasons. Our approach assumes that flood formation is driven by the superimposition ...